Thunderstrike Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Felsteel HelmStrong Buy | profit 9g 84s | confidence Low 25%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 5g 73s | confidence Medium 50%
• Tome of Conjure WaterStrong Buy | profit 3g 45s | confidence Low 48%
• Primal ShadowStrong Buy | profit 3g 14s | confidence Low 22%
• Royal NightseyeStrong Buy | profit 3g 13s | confidence Low 20%
• Great Golden DraeniteStrong Buy | profit 2g 83s | confidence Low 47%
• Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 2g 32s | confidence Low 28%
• Hiddenite NecklaceStrong Buy | profit 4g 35s | confidence Low 48%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Rough Arrowprice 3g 55s | move +148045.8% | sold/day 96.7
• Hot Spicesprice 4g 49s | move +69124.6% | sold/day 64.2
• Mithril Gyro-Shotprice 21s 0c | move +17400.0% | sold/day 905.3
• Giant Clam Meatprice 99s 89c | move +12081.7% | sold/day 15.6
• Cracked Vialprice 24s 99c | move +8517.2% | sold/day 83.1
• Coarse Blasting Powderprice 54s 14c | move +3767.1% | sold/day 252.8
• Lynx Meatprice 1s 58c | move +3060.0% | sold/day 42.6
• Scroll of Stamina IIIprice 1g 95s | move +2387.2% | sold/day 24.7

Shortage Watch

• Crafted Solid Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 238.8 | change -
• Goretusk Snoutsupply 0 | sold/day 64.3 | change -
• Crunchy Spider Legsupply 0 | sold/day 57.3 | change -
• Crag Boar Ribsupply 0 | sold/day 52.3 | change -
• Goretusk Liversupply 0 | sold/day 45.4 | change -
• Explosive Rocketsupply 0 | sold/day 32.8 | change -
• Filet of Redgillsupply 0 | sold/day 32.8 | change -
• Heavy Silk Bandagesupply 0 | sold/day 26.5 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 29 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 48%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

29 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 48%.

• Anomaly12 scored | hit rate 50%
• Opportunity12 scored | hit rate 33%
• Shortage5 scored | hit rate 80%
• Other22 category calls scored | hit rate 45%
• Raw materials2 category calls scored | hit rate 50%
• Consumables1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Crafted items1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Gems1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Leather1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.