Thunderstrike Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Relentless Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 12g 52s | confidence Low 27%
• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 10g 10s | confidence Low 20%
• Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 8g 98s | confidence Low 24%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 6g 26s | confidence Low 14%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 61s | confidence Low 47%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 3g 23s | confidence Low 16%
• Felsteel BarStrong Buy | profit 3g 23s | confidence Low 28%
• Primal FireStrong Buy | profit 3g 14s | confidence Low 34%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Light Shotprice 3g 55s | move +236926.7% | sold/day 24.5
• Sharp Arrowprice 3g 55s | move +35809.1% | sold/day 721.3
• Bloodthistleprice 292g 68s | move +15069.9% | sold/day 84.9
• Red Dyeprice 38s 69c | move +11990.6% | sold/day 11.1
• Blackrock Spring Waterprice 9g 99s | move +11500.6% | sold/day 16.4
• Accurate Slugsprice 30s 63c | move +6026.0% | sold/day 160.6
• Raw Glossy Mightfishprice 14s 33c | move +3015.2% | sold/day 127.2
• Lesser Ward of Shieldingprice 4g 13s | move +2275.4% | sold/day 12.1

Shortage Watch

• Precision Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 273.4 | change -
• Impact Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 186.3 | change -
• Solid Dynamitesupply 0 | sold/day 101.5 | change -
• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 84.9 | change -
• Lynx Meatsupply 0 | sold/day 42.6 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 6supply 0 | sold/day 24.0 | change -
• Tigerseye Bandsupply 0 | sold/day 20.2 | change -
• Lean Wolf Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 13.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 60 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 72%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

60 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 72%.

• Anomaly46 scored | hit rate 83%
• Opportunity12 scored | hit rate 25%
• Shortage2 scored | hit rate 100%
• Other23 category calls scored | hit rate 35%
• Consumables9 category calls scored | hit rate 89%
• Raw materials9 category calls scored | hit rate 89%
• Junk8 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.