Nightslayer Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 9g 67s | confidence High 78%
• Ethereum Stasis Chamber KeyStrong Buy | profit 7g 93s | confidence Low 39%
• SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 5g 76s | confidence Low 41%
• Tome of Conjure WaterStrong Buy | profit 3g 46s | confidence Low 35%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 2g 75s | confidence Medium 63%
• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 8g 85s | confidence Medium 74%
• Spined RingStrong Buy | profit 5g 89s | confidence Medium 58%
• Bracing Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 14g 77s | confidence Low 24%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Razor Arrowprice 88s 8c | move +73300.0% | sold/day 1,413.4
• Morning Glory Dewprice 34g 99s | move +53498.6% | sold/day 96.0
• Accurate Slugsprice 88s 13c | move +51741.2% | sold/day 160.6
• Scroll of Protectionprice 9g 99s | move +47518.6% | sold/day 28.7
• Alterac Swissprice 35g 0s | move +45178.5% | sold/day 513.8
• Heavy Shotprice 88s 27c | move +33850.0% | sold/day 192.1
• Solid Shotprice 88s 27c | move +11828.4% | sold/day 218.2
• Raw Rockscale Codprice 1s 41c | move +4600.0% | sold/day 215.5

Shortage Watch

• Feathered Arrowsupply 0 | sold/day 90.1 | change -
• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 84.9 | change -
• Exploding Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 26.4 | change -
• Shredder Operating Manual - Page 6supply 0 | sold/day 24.0 | change -
• Tigerseye Bandsupply 0 | sold/day 20.2 | change -
• Instant Poisonsupply 0 | sold/day 16.8 | change -
• Lean Wolf Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 13.9 | change -
• Instant Poisonsupply 0 | sold/day 13.8 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 59 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 90%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

59 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 90%.

• Anomaly59 scored | hit rate 90%
• Junk20 category calls scored | hit rate 95%
• Consumables11 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items9 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat6 category calls scored | hit rate 83%
• Scroll5 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Leather4 category calls scored | hit rate 0%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.