AI Market Analysis | NA | Model ai-market-analysis-v1

Dreamscythe Horde

Daily AI-powered market commentary generated from rolling market windows. Latest snapshot 4440 at 2026-05-22T02:08:08+00:00.

This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.

Median 3-day move

-1.8%

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

+445.5%

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Adaptive / transparent

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

  • Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 5g 16s | confidence High 77%
  • SpellclothStrong Buy | profit 3g 91s | confidence Low 47%
  • Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 3g 55s | confidence Medium 52%
  • Thorium Shield SpikeStrong Buy | profit 3g 18s | confidence Low 30%
  • Stormy Star of EluneStrong Buy | profit 2g 75s | confidence Low 41%
  • Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 2g 67s | confidence Low 41%
  • Truesilver Commander's RingStrong Buy | profit 2g 51s | confidence Medium 58%
  • Spined RingStrong Buy | profit 5g 62s | confidence Medium 52%

High-Value, High-Volume Staples

Items in this lane are valuable and sell fast enough to deserve attention even when they are not currently cheap. This catches dependable markets like Mana Thistle instead of only showing discounts or spikes.

  • Mana Thistleprice 32g 99s | sold/day 1,135.9 | auctions 28 | daily value 37482g 90s
  • Large Prismatic Shardprice 18g 27s | sold/day 1,440.1 | auctions 121 | daily value 26325g 47s
  • Flask of Relentless Assaultprice 107g 69s | sold/day 166.2 | auctions 27 | daily value 17899g 88s
  • Primal Waterprice 12g 9s | sold/day 1,338.7 | auctions 145 | daily value 16186g 27s
  • Primal Mightprice 67g 97s | sold/day 233.1 | auctions 45 | daily value 15842g 71s
  • Elixir of Major Agilityprice 6g 76s | sold/day 1,692.0 | auctions 65 | daily value 11452g 1s
  • Netherbloomprice 6g 76s | sold/day 1,684.8 | auctions 42 | daily value 11405g 61s
  • Living Rubyprice 86g 97s | sold/day 122.0 | auctions 78 | daily value 10609g 18s

Current Predictions

These are explicit forward-looking calls. Each one is stored and scored against a later snapshot, then folded into future confidence.

  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 3g 25s | Predicted 4g 94s | Buy zone 3g 27s - 3g 85s | Sell zone 4g 74s - 5g 73sExpected ROI +44.2% | Hold 1.4 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence High 77%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 3g 25s | Predicted 4g 94s | Buy zone 3g 27s - 3g 85s | Sell zone 4g 74s - 5g 73sExpected ROI +44.2% | Hold 1.4 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence High 77%
  • Akkarai's TalonsBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 3g 25s | Predicted 4g 94s | Buy zone 3g 27s - 3g 85s | Sell zone 4g 74s - 5g 73sExpected ROI +44.2% | Hold 1.4 days | Sell probability 60%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence High 77%
  • Truesilver Commander's RingBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 1g 30s | Predicted 1g 70s | Buy zone 1g 12s - 1g 32s | Sell zone 1g 63s - 1g 97sExpected ROI +24.6% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 65%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 58%
  • Truesilver Commander's RingBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 1g 30s | Predicted 1g 70s | Buy zone 1g 12s - 1g 32s | Sell zone 1g 63s - 1g 97sExpected ROI +24.6% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 65%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 58%
  • Truesilver Commander's RingBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 1g 30s | Predicted 1g 70s | Buy zone 1g 12s - 1g 32s | Sell zone 1g 63s - 1g 97sExpected ROI +24.6% | Hold 2.3 days | Sell probability 65%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 58%
  • Tome of Conjure WaterBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 99s | Predicted 3g 78s | Buy zone 2g 50s - 2g 94s | Sell zone 3g 63s - 4g 38sExpected ROI +19.8% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 63%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 53%
  • Tome of Conjure WaterBuy | Opportunity | 7-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 99s | Predicted 3g 78s | Buy zone 2g 50s - 2g 94s | Sell zone 3g 63s - 4g 38sExpected ROI +19.8% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 63%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 53%
  • Tome of Conjure WaterBuy | Opportunity | 14-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 2g 99s | Predicted 3g 78s | Buy zone 2g 50s - 2g 94s | Sell zone 3g 63s - 4g 38sExpected ROI +19.8% | Hold 1.5 days | Sell probability 63%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 53%
  • Amber BandBuy | Opportunity | 3-day forecast: future price after auction cut stays above today's baseline buy price.Regime: demand-backed scarcity | Trend: rangebound | Direction: upBaseline 4g 62s | Predicted 5g 92s | Buy zone 3g 92s - 4g 61s | Sell zone 5g 68s - 6g 86sExpected ROI +21.7% | Hold 4.3 days | Sell probability 51%Liquidity 100% | Manipulation risk 26/100 | Confidence Medium 52%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

  • Rough Dynamiteprice 49g 99s | move +1136259.1% | sold/day 78.3
  • Razor Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +955400.0% | sold/day 1,413.4
  • Solid Shotprice 9g 55s | move +212231.1% | sold/day 218.2
  • Dust of Decayprice 60s 68c | move +60580.0% | sold/day 16.6
  • Instant Poisonprice 30g 0s | move +13086.8% | sold/day 13.8
  • Rough Stoneprice 44c | move +2100.0% | sold/day 3,650.6
  • Gooey Spider Legprice 2s 40c | move +1900.0% | sold/day 134.6
  • Mild Spicesprice 6s 98c | move +1894.3% | sold/day 66.3

Shortage Watch

  • Hi-Impact Mithril Slugssupply 0 | sold/day 2,300.4 | change -
  • Incendosaur Scalesupply 0 | sold/day 242.9 | change -
  • Crafted Solid Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 238.8 | change -
  • Rockshard Pelletssupply 0 | sold/day 202.4 | change -
  • Irradiated Crystal Shardsupply 0 | sold/day 115.9 | change -
  • Crafted Heavy Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 84.4 | change -
  • Mageweave Bandagesupply 0 | sold/day 65.2 | change -
  • Ring of Twilight Shadowssupply 0 | sold/day 52.4 | change -

What The AI Learned

  • This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
  • The feedback loop has evaluated 30 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 100%.
  • Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
  • Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
  • High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
  • The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

30 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 100%.

  • Anomaly30 scored | hit rate 100%
  • Junk16 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Crafted items4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Meat4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Consumables1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
  • Gems1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

  • Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
  • The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
  • The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
  • External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
  • Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
  • Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.